Mega Millions Winning Odds Table and Stats – Free Mega Millions Stats 2026

Stop Guessing, Start Calculating: Real Mega Millions Odds Simplified.

Mega Millions Prize Tiers and Odds (as of 2026)

Match (White Balls + Mega Ball) Base Prize (Multiplier Applied) Odds of Winning
5 + Mega Ball Jackpot (Grand Prize) 1 in 290,472,336
5 + 0 $1,000,000 (multiplied: $2,000,000 – $10,000,000) 1 in 12,629,232
4 + Mega Ball $10,000 (multiplied: $20,000 – $100,000) 1 in 893,761
4 + 0 $500 (multiplied: $1,000 – $5,000) 1 in 38,859
3 + Mega Ball $200 (multiplied: $400 – $2,000) 1 in 13,965
3 + 0 $10 (multiplied: $20 – $100) 1 in 607
2 + Mega Ball $10 (multiplied: $20 – $100) 1 in 665
1 + Mega Ball $7 (multiplied: $14 – $70) 1 in 86
0 + Mega Ball (just Mega Ball) $5 (multiplied: $10 – $50) 1 in 35
Overall odds of winning any prize: 1 in 23.07

The Math Behind the Millions: Mega Millions Odds Explained.

Understanding the mathematical landscape of Mega Millions is the first step toward playing smarter. While the 1-in-290-million jackpot probability is fixed, studying the odds allows you to move beyond common superstitions and avoid shared-prize traps like overused birthday sequences.

By analyzing number distributions such as the balance between odd and even balls, you can ensure your tickets cover the most frequent historical patterns to maximize your potential return. Ultimately, mastering the math transforms a game of blind chance into a calculated pursuit of value.